4. ISPA’s Mattress Industry Trends Report

Summary

Mark and Mike speak to Mary Thorpe, Director of Industry Research and Analytics for ISPA, to dig into the methodologies, questions, and take-aways from their latest Mattress Industry Trends Report — which showed the fourth consecutive year of decline for the category.


Key Take-Aways

  • The U.S. mattress industry had a brutal 2025. According to ISPA, wholesale mattress units fell by 6.7% and dollar value fell by 4.0%, making last year a continuation of recent declines. 

  • ISPA measures production, not retail sales. The report tracks mattresses produced or imported into the U.S., not what consumers ultimately bought. 

  • Most of the domestic numbers are based on real data. Roughly 80–90% of the domestics totals come from actual manufacturer submissions, with the remainder estimated using ISPA's methodology. 

  • Import tracking remains the biggest blind spot. Misclassified shipments and inconsistent customs codes make imported mattresses the least certain part of the industry's estimates. 

  • Stationary foundations continue to disappear. They now accompany only about 40% of mattress shipments, roughly half the attachment rate of two decades ago. 

  • Consumers continue moving toward larger mattresses. The long-term shift toward queen and king sizes helped cushion the decline in dollar value relative to unit volume. 

  • No one has a clear explanation for the prolonged downturn. Even ISPA views the industry's slow recovery as one of its biggest unanswered questions. 

  • Better participation from producers would improve the data. ISPA's top request is for more manufacturers to submit their numbers so future reports require less estimation.

Show Notes

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